A Diplomatic Rupture and a Returning Armada: Ethiopia and Eritrea Break Ties as Washington Masses Forces Over Iran
Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 9. Coverage period 27 September–2 October 2026.
Nexa Insight
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia and Eritrea Break Ties, Washington Sends a Third Carrier Toward Iran, and Yemen’s Army Repels a Houthi Push
Ethiopia expelled Eritrea’s diplomats and closed its Asmara embassy after blasts rocked Addis Ababa and government forces pushed toward Mekelle, as Washington ordered a third carrier strike group and up to 10,000 more troops toward the Gulf and Yemen’s army said it repelled a major Houthi offensive south of Taiz. Verified developments, 1–2 October 2026.
Daily Briefing: A Hijacking Attempt Jolts a Dubai–Tel Aviv Flight, Washington Sanctions Iran’s Arms Network, and Ethiopia’s Front Lines Hold at Alamata
An Omani co-pilot’s attempted hijacking of a Dubai–Tel Aviv flydubai flight forced an emergency diversion to Saudi Arabia, as Washington sanctioned 13 entities tied to Iran’s weapons-procurement network and Iran weighed a Qatar-mediated truce proposal. Ethiopia’s pro-government forces held their claimed gains at Alamata. Verified developments, 30 September–1 October 2026.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia’s War Escalates, Sudan Presses the UN, and Iran’s Hormuz Leverage Slips
Pro-government forces claimed capture of Tigray’s strategic town of Alamata as Ethiopia’s civil conflict entered a second week, while Sudan’s foreign minister used the UN General Assembly to demand action against the RSF’s foreign backers after Washington again denied Gen. al-Burhan a visa. Saudi Arabia’s main pipeline resumed full exports around the Strait of Hormuz, undercutting Iran’s chief remaining leverage in stalled talks. Verified developments, 29–30 September 2026.
Announcement: Theories of International Relations & Law – Live Online Course Starts 1 October 2026
Nexa Research and Training Centre opens a 4-week live online course on Theories of International Relations & Law, starting Thursday, 1 October 2026, 8:00–10:00 PM (EAT). Certificate of completion.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia Blames Sudan and Egypt for the Tigray Uprising as Iran Claims a Second Drone Seizure in Hormuz
Ethiopia’s army chief widened his accusation of foreign backing for the Tigray-led rebel alliance to include Sudan and Egypt alongside Eritrea, as Sudan’s Burhan rejected US ceasefire terms outright and Iran’s Revolutionary Guards claimed to have seized a second American underwater drone in the Strait of Hormuz — a claim US Central Command called “clearly desperate.” Verified developments, 27–29 September 2026.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia’s Army Blames Eritrea for New Uprising as Washington Unleashes “Economic Outcast” Campaign on Iran
Nexa Insight · Daily Briefing Daily Briefing: Ethiopia’s Army Blames Eritrea for New Uprising as Washington Unleashes “Economic Outcast” Campaign on Iran Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis | Published Sunday, 27 September 2026 | 7 min readAll claims independently verified across at least two reputable sources unless explicitly noted as single-sourced. President Donald Trump, who
Two Deals Undone: Ethiopia’s Peace Collapses as Iran’s Hormuz Offer Is Rejected
Nexa Insight · Regional Analysis · Horn of Africa Weekly Update — Issue No. 8. Coverage period 15–26 September 2026.
Two Deals Undone: Ethiopia’s Peace Collapses as Iran’s Hormuz Offer Is Rejected Read More »
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia’s War Returns to Tigray as Trump Turns Down Iran’s Hormuz Plan
Fighting between Ethiopia’s federal forces and a seven-group rebel alliance widened into what Tigrayan officials call a full war, effectively shattering the 2022 peace deal, as a seafarer was killed in a fresh Strait of Hormuz attack and Donald Trump reportedly rejected Iran’s own plan to reopen it. Verified developments, 23–26 September 2026.
Daily Briefing: Ethiopia’s War Returns to Tigray as Trump Turns Down Iran’s Hormuz Plan Read More »
Daily Briefing: Iran’s Hormuz Offer, Ethiopia’s New Coalition, and Saudi Arabia’s Arms Search
A senior Iranian official says Tehran can reopen the Strait of Hormuz within seven days if Washington eases military pressure, as Iran’s president heads to the UN General Assembly without a Trump meeting planned. Saudi Arabia leans on allies as its own missile interceptors run low, and the UN voices alarm over a new armed-group coalition in Ethiopia. Verified developments, 20–23 September 2026.